Document Type
Article
Publication Date
9-1-2013
Publication Title
Trends in Ecology and Evolution
Abstract
The current distributions of species are often assumed to correspond with the total set of environmental conditions under which species can persist. When this assumption is incorrect, extinction risk estimated from species distribution models can be misleading. The degree to which species can tolerate or even thrive under conditions found beyond their current distributions alters extinction risks, time lags in realizing those risks, and the usefulness of alternative management strategies. To inform these issues, we propose a conceptual framework within which empirical data could be used to generate hypotheses regarding the realized, fundamental, and 'tolerance' niche of species. Although these niche components have rarely been characterized over geographic scales, we suggest that this could be done for many plant species by comparing native, naturalized, and horticultural distributions.
Volume
28
Issue
9
First Page
517
Last Page
523
DOI
10.1016/j.tree.2013.05.010
ISSN
01695347
Recommended Citation
Sax, Dov F.; Early, Regan; and Bellemare, Jesse, "Niche Syndromes, Species Extinction Risks, and Management under Climate Change" (2013). Biological Sciences: Faculty Publications, Smith College, Northampton, MA.
https://scholarworks.smith.edu/bio_facpubs/215
Comments
Peer reviewed accepted manuscript.