Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2025

Publication Title

SuperIntelligence - Robotics - Safety & Alignment

Abstract

What should you believe will be the likely cause of your survival if you are an AI Doomer who believes in quantum immortality? An AI Doomer believes that if their understanding of AI existential risks is correct, humanity must get extremely lucky to survive. A person who believes in quantum immortality thinks that the many-worlds interpretation of quantum physics implies that their consciousness will necessarily continue in some branch of the multiverse. This article shows that combining these two beliefs requires rejecting or going beyond simple Bayesian reasoning when estimating one's most likely cause of survival. Such estimates may have practical implications for investment decisions, reputation management, and anthropic shadows.

Keywords

quantum immortality, many worlds, ai doom probability, p doom, ai apocalypse

Volume

2

Issue

2

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.

Rights

Copyright (c) 2025 Alexei Turchin, Jim Miller

Version

Version of Record

Included in

Economics Commons

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